Kentucky Club for Growth
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November 5, 2009

House 96: Analysis

It's been months since we took a look at the race for Senate 18 and noted that it could swing either way in a neutral set of circumstances. Since we looked at that race (back in July), a special election has come and long gone, Robin Webb now represents the district, and her seat in Carter and Lewis counties is open.

In 2008, while McCain handily defeated Obama in this district, McConnell edged Democratic challenger Bruce Lunsford by only 370 votes -- that's 2.5%. We would also note that Sen. Webb had significant pull in these counties, as strong turnout and a strong margin in her home counties carried her to victory in her Senate race.

Now, nominees have been selected to stand for election on December 8. The Republicans have selected Jill York and the Democrats Barry Webb (unrelated to Robin).

Barry Webb is a welder at AK Steel

"I think (Webb) came prepared with a very good campaign speech, so to say," said Carter County Democratic chair Ron Bush. "He was very concerned about the economy and the economy here in northeastern Kentucky."

Webb is employed as a maintenance welder at the AK Steel's Ashland coke plant and has served various elected positions in Local 523 of the United Steelworkers of America. This will be his first run for elected office.

"I've always been interested in politics and worked on a couple of Robin's campaigns and when this opportunity came along, I felt it was a very opportune time for someone like me to pursue it," Barry Webb said.

York is a former Carter county magistrate and is a small business owner who is active in the Carter business community

York formerly served as a magistrate for Carter County until 2006. She is on the Chamber of Commerce and is chairman of the Carter County Fair Board. She runs Print Works in Grayson.

"I think we have knowledgeable candidate whose community involvement is second to none," Harrison said.

This race will likely be overlooked as attention focuses on Senate 14, but as the seat won't affect the casino debate and is less likely to see casino money involved, it could serve as a better barometer of Kentucky's political mood.

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03/29/12 : RS12 HB 499 - KEY VOTE - Insurance Premium Tax Hike

03/29/12 : Lip Service to Kentucky's Debt Problem

03/19/12 : RS12 HB 202 - KEY VOTE - A Health Care Mandate Without Precedent

03/15/12 : RS12 SB 10 - KEY VOTE - A Constitutional Amendment to Guarantee Legislative Oversight of Regulations

03/15/12 : RS12 SB 4 - KEY VOTE - Improving Regulatory Accountability

03/12/12 : Clarifying Redistricting, Maybe

03/08/12 : House Passes Budget Quickly with Eight Percent Spending Increase

Lexington Herald Leader 5/10:

"Thayer, 44, responds by calling Hostetler "a little desperate." Thayer touts his conservative support from U.S. Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky., the National Rifle Association, the pro-business Kentucky Club for Growth (which ranks him best among 38 state senators) and the anti-abortion Kentucky Right to Life."


Last weekend, the Kentucky Club for Growth's strong anti-tax stance was recognized in the Courier Journal.

But other political experts say they aren't convinced outside groups will want to get involved, especially with public polling showing Beshear with a double-digit lead and Williams' record of occasionally supporting tax increases failing to excite conservative groups such Club for Growth or the tea party-related FreedomWorks.

"They're adamant about the 'no tax' thing," said Jennifer Duffy, a senior editor with the non-partisan Cook Political Report.

We are adamant about the 'no tax' thing, and we will continue to be the taxpayer's advocate in Frankfort.


Drees: Raise gas tax to fund bridge - Pat Crowley, NKY.com

Ky. House nears tax vote - Pat Crowley, NKy.com


Donor records might have similarities - Lexington Herald-Leader

Club for Growth launches in Oregon

The Kentucky Club for Growth is proud to announce its 2007 scorecard rating members of the Kentucky General Assembly on fiscal issues.

How did your legislators do?


House Passes Budget Quickly with Eight Percent Spending Increase
Yesterday, the Kentucky House passed a budget for FYs 2013-2014. While most of the legislative discussion centers on cuts, the General Fund budget totals $19.5 million which represents an 8% increase over FY 2011-2012. Even if you compare it only...

What Farm Receipts Say About the Health of the Horse Industry in Kentucky
In 2011, Kentucky's farm receipts are expected to top $5 billion for the first time, thanks to Kentucky's health agriculture economy as well as high prices for corn. Looking at Kentucky's top crops by receipts, the landscape continues to change....

The Outlook for Small Businesses is Bad, and Bad for the Economy
The NFIB reports: For the fifth consecutive month, NFIB's monthly Small-Business Optimism Index fell, dropping 0.9 points in July--a larger decline than in each of the previous three months--and bringing the Index down to a disappointing 89.9. While the national...

Employment Trends and Rates
Unemployment in Kentucky inched downwards this month: Kentucky's unemployment rate fell to 10 percent in April, down from 10.2 percent a month earlier. The state added 3,800 jobs in the month, as "Kentucky's economy continued to show signs of improvement...

State Budget Surplus Good News for Kentucky Economy
At the end of every fiscal year in June, the state always runs a small surplus. No matter the economic circumstances or budget cuts, because the state is constitutionally required to balance the budget, the state will end up with...

Legislature, Governor Probably Shouldn't Count on Revenue Improvements
As the legislature debates plugging a $166 million shortfall in the Medicaid budget, it seems many legislators are just hoping that revenues improve and that the hole they're digging in next year's budget would just go away. Yesterday's housing news...

US Labor Force Still Shrinking
The US labor force participation rate is at it's lowest point since the early '80's....

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The KY Club for Growth seeks principled candidates who are committed to the following:

* Free market principles
* Lowering taxes
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